Betting
Bookmakers open with a cautious book and adjust as money comes in. The first show of prices in the morning — often called the early prices — tends to carry a wider margin than the Starting Price. On the raceday market itself, there are consistent patterns. Ante-post markets on the Cheltenham Gold Cup or Champion Hurdle typically run between 140 and 160 per cent, which is lower than the National but still significantly wider than raceday.
And some operators apply BOG only to bets placed after a certain time in the morning, which means very early ante-post-style wagers do not qualify. Most bookmakers cap BOG payouts — some at a maximum enhanced payout of 500 pounds, others at a maximum uplift of a certain number of odds points. On horses that drift — less money than expected, price lengthening — BOG gives you the benefit of the higher SP.
The aggregate effect across 20 runners adds up to a much wider margin than in a six-runner race. Across UK and Irish horse racing, typical bookmaker overrounds range from about 110 to 130 per cent. Understanding the typical ranges gives you a framework for evaluating whether the price you are being offered is competitive or padded. The margin a bookmaker builds into horse racing odds is not fixed. If you bet at a bookmaker with a consistently higher overround, you need a higher strike rate just to break even.
Dave Massey previews Saturday’s action at Aintree, selecting his best bets for the races at 1.15, 1.45, 2.25 and 3.00. Dave Chisnall spoke to kwiff on Friday afternoon just before he kicked off his Grand Slam of Darts qualifying campaign That small time investment — repeated across every bet you place — is the most reliable edge available to the average punter. If you are betting early in the day and BOG is on offer, take the best available bookmaker price. If the exchange back price is 8.0 and the best bookmaker is offering 6/1, the bookmaker is taking a significantly wider margin on that horse. Here is the workflow that experienced punters follow, stripped of anything unnecessary.
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Yet the majority of bettors place their bets with whichever app they last used, at whatever price happens to be on screen, without checking whether a better number is available elsewhere. @ScottyPick6 Scotty thank you so much for the winnings from the Saturday webinar. Biggest payout of my life!
Andy Schooler previews this week’s ‘Super Sunday’ Premier League showdown between Liverpool and Arsenal. Ross Burdon provides his latest stable update, with Gifts Differing set to run betting sites not covered by gamstop at Chelmsford on Thursday, while Dust Cover Manchester United host Aston Villa in Sunday’s featured Premier League clash, with both sides looking to build momentum. Hector Crouch heads to Southwell for three final rides on Saturday before jetting off to
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Took down that LP5 @BelmontStakes today! This includes first time starters. Our top Pace number will be in either the 1st or 2nd position at the first call 72.5% of the time.
